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Sunday, October 31, 2010

Ted Sorensen, JFK's speech writer, passed away today

"And so, my fellow Americans: ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.

My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.

Finally, whether you are citizens of America or citizens of the world, ask of us here the same high standards of strength and sacrifice which we ask of you. With a good conscience our only sure reward, with history the final judge of our deeds, let us go forth to lead the land we love, asking His blessing and His help, but knowing that here on Earth God's work must truly be our own."

These words entered immortality as soon as they were heard on Jan 20th, 1961. Delivered by the youngest President so far in this great nation, this speech was actually drafted by a 32-year-old young man. Today, that "young man", who had his most glorious days as "an intellectual blood bank" of the Kennedy brothers, Ted Sorensen, passed away at age 82.


Friday, October 29, 2010

Say "the Olympic champion"




Very shockingly, maybe even more than Henin's "pseudo-retirement", I heard that Elena Dementieva annouced her retirement earlier today.

I have never really paid attention to her: her and Myskina's 2004 French Open final, the ugliest Grand Slam final I've ever seen, gave me such a hard-to-shake-off shadow. And that almost defines her in me: she is not the one.

She chokes, as all other Russian women do. What makes her the most unfortunate is that she doesn't have the SERVE, which I believe is just an insurmountable obstacle, unless--there is ONLY ONE exception in a hundred years of tennis history--you are Rafael Nadal.

One of many amazing things Elena achieved is that since she made it to the main draw of a Grand Slam event for the first time (1999 Australian Open), she had played in 46 consecutive Grand Slams (main draw) until this year's Wimbledon, the longest consective major attendance record in tennis. Ironically, it was her unbelievable consistency and fitness that betrayed her in this year's French, forciing her to retire in the semifinal against Francesca Schiavone.

At that time, the idea that "she may not get another big shot at majors" passed my mind. But stil,l I have to say, retiring now may prove to be the most regretful decision she has ever made. With the Sisters aging, Henin's bumpiness, Cljisters' "human" nature outside of NYC and all those -vic, or -ackis which essentially has NO GAME whatsoever, if she stays and waits, maybe, just maybe, she can win one, once and for all.

Of course she LOVES tennis. And very different from Henin, she never let the pursuit of glory overwhelm the noble, gentle human spirit. For such persons, it is probably easier to stay. BUt anyway, she decided it was not worth the wait. And she called it a career. She is convinced she got the memorables, and the valuables.

Still remember her heroine-ic performance (winning all her 3 matches, doubles and singles) in the neck-to-neck 3-2 Fed Cup final against France? And remember her career-defining gold-medal match in Beijing Olympics over Safina? She saves her best for her great country. And she steps down as eternal for that.

Even if you are as cynical about Russian tennis as me, please, from now on, DON'T SAY "THE BEST NEVER", say "the Olympic champion".


Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Korean War_#1

The 60th anniversary of China's intervention of "Korean War". To this day, I still think the Korean War was one of the most intriguing wars of all time. It was so dramatic. In the end, the outcome of war is determined by economic powers reflected in coordination between units, logistics and the quality of fighting weapons, but human factors do play BIG roles and sometimes have irreversible effects. MacArthur lived in his own fantasies after the Inchon Landing. All it took was a supreme leader that had guts to challenge the US, risky but smart tactics and strategies of Marshal Peng and super-disciplined and tenacious Chinese Army to completely turn things around.

More thoughts on that later.

Monday, October 18, 2010

TennisTrivia_Oct 18.2010

Murray has now won 6 Masters Series (now the "ATP World Tour Masters 1000" events) titles. Among the 18 players who won 3 or more Masters, only Marcelo Rios, Andrei Medvedev, and Thomas Enqvist ended up not winning a Grand Slam champion. (There is one other active player, Nicholay Davydenko, who won 3 Masters so far, but hasn't ever played a major final.) The statistics seems to suggest that Murray should be able to win a Grand Slam title, sooner or later. But statistics can be deceptive. Researchers should always pay attention to the "structural change", i.e. a threat to the comparativity of data across time and space. Prior to 2007, the Masters has "best-of-five-sets" final, after that, best-of-three-sets. All 5 Ws of Murry came in the "best-of-three-sets". It doesn't make a huge difference as all previous rounds in Masters were, and are, "best-of-three-sets". But I would argue that, finals are after all different. Winning a "best-of-five-sets" final means differently than a three-setter. Think about Rafa vs Roger Miami 2005. I totally believe that Murray can win a major. It is just that it is not at all automatic that 6 Masters Ws translate to even one Grand Slam victory.

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China Open has long expressed his ambition to become the 5th Slam. But the biggest optimist will be disheartened seeing the empty seats in the Center Court. The typical tennis audience in US/Europe--the middle-aged upper-middle class just don't have time and the enthusiasm for tennis.

But I found another thing. The majestic "Lotus" Court built for the Beijing Olympics is a light-hearted failure. It sits "north-south", a traditional rule for any "important" architecture. But a tennis court should NEVER be built "north-south", for the court will be half-shaded all day on any sunny day! I found it extremely annoying for players, and for TV broadcasters and viewers as well. Now the Chinese authority is considering building an even bigger 15000-seat white elephant, hopefully they will fix this obvious mistake this time.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

The addiction to bodybuilding

Bodybuilding is addictive. After a hardcore workout and a big meal, I am convinced that four consecutive days in absence of gym is the likely cause of my the physical and mental disorder in last couple of days. Maybe it is true for every sport. But I feel especially strongly for bodybuilding. Or maybe, it feels strange and uncomfortable to go without anything that has become an integral part of your life.

Put it in a "theoretical perspective"--you know I am teasing the theorists--life is itself a Bayesian process of choosing between multiple equilibria. There is the "sporty+good appetite+hi protein intake+health diet" equilibrium, and that "sedentary+little appetite+working for longer hours but less happily" equilibrium, to name two. I have got used to the "hi" equilibrium again--Thanks JHK, though I feel you won't see this--since this June, so departing from it temporarily makes me "sick". And I went back today to "equilibrate", though I am super busy and stressful. But I also know that going to gym, or doing other sports regularly, takes discipline, passion, and an attitude. If one is in the "indifferent" world, or deep in mental acedia, or can't resist the temptation of "more papers/lab/programming", the "low" equilibrium is also stable, and it is hard to jump-start to the "hi" one.

I strongly encourage every PhD, boys and girls, to follow the previous path. Because the freedom to choose our way of life may be the only justification of the huge opportunity cost we forgo to pursue this degree. And it is downright stupid not to live a meaningful, and disciplined life, in which the loyalty to one sport, and the love to one genre of arts, are essential.

I suddenly recalled the lesson from Yingjiou Ma, then mayor of Taipei, the current President of ROC when meeting wit him in 2005. He may not be a great President, but he is a noble person and a great teacher.

Saturday, October 2, 2010

Winter plan

Washington DC and NYC Redux.

From Dec 18 to Jan 3. Air tickets reserved.

Reunion with Chenqi and Tony, AMNH, NMNH, NMAH, National Holocaust Museum, Library of Congress, George Mason U, Met, MOMA etc etc.

I am excited!!

Friday, October 1, 2010

China's Moon Mission

On the 61st anniversary of the founding of People's Republic of China, at exactly the beginning of CCTV Evening News (7 pm, Beijing time, this 30-min news program used to be China's only nationwide news program. Today, it is still the most-widely-received and most-viewed TV program, at least TV news program in the nation.), China launched its "Appolo 2". This timing showed again that the Chinese Communist Party has gradually fashioned its propaganda machine.

This will undoubtedly stir a new wave of nationalistic pride. I can still remember when the frightening patriotic fervor aroused by "Chang'e I" I felt from various media channels and through video-chatting across the Pacific. The unfortunate thing is, for the general public, and even for many highly-educated leftists, the priceless national pride, seems also costless.

People dismissed the astronomical budget of the 2008 Olympics the same way they dismiss the cost of the moon mission now. The most ironic thing about Chinese leftists is that they will put a price tag on human life, say tens of thousands of miners' lives, and say "it still pays to 'DEVELOP", but they turn a blind eye, willfully, on the price tag of the national pride.

To make things worse, the government fools the general public. There is an article saying that the project only cost $2-3 billion RMB so far, "merely several kilometers of newly-built subway in Beijing". Nonsense. The Appolo Project of U.S. was back in 1960-1970s. The total nominal expenditure amounts to $19,408,134,000. Using the CPI in 1972, the year of the last moon landing, the "cost" is at least $99,000,000,000, which translates to $650,000,000,000 RMB. Appolo has 17 missions. China's "Chang'e" now has two. How come the "cost" is merely 2-3b RMB?! Is the whole thing only a film??

Sunday, September 19, 2010

The First Year in retrospect

/**Part of it was written on April 28, another part on June 12, I edited and finished it on Sept. 18.**/

When the winter term ended, I wrote down the following words:

"I am not sure whether it is more proper to call today or August 20th the last day of the first year. I don't have the mood to celebrate, I only hope there won't be any "ex post" worry about 672. But I can't help imagining, and planning my summer. It may be the most stressful summer ever in my life. But just because it will be busy and stressful, I should try to enjoy myself, live a disciplined life and get things done, and feel proud for myself more often."

But as it turned out, my summer was pretty bad. Boring SRA work, though I worked for a terrific scholar and terrific mentor. Running into an interpersonal nightmare was not fun. I left behind such a bomb in summer 2008, and I paid an unmeasurable price for that. Hopefully this time it won't be like that, I hope there won't be so many narrow-minded people, but only future will tell. But on the other hand, there are important lessons: you can never be too be humble, and too patient. Being a scholar is less independent than most people think. Your research depends so much on the bureaucracy and people around you, many of whom not so easy to please, or you simply don't like. But you have to get around them. ....

The worst may be my depression. The vicious circle of doing nothing, using Internet to fill the void, and feeling guilty, being afraid to reach out and meet people, etc. On one of those worst days, I finally decided to do something, and I went to the CCRB. And accidentally, I talked with one stranger in a group. I couldn't recall which one, and I couldn't remember I went to talk with him first or he came to talk with me. I am now friends with them, at least some of them. I went to their "life group", and some other church activities. Unfortunately I just went to the Sunday service once, and I didn't go to Lake Huron with them for July 4th holiday. But still, I feel really grateful for that totally random encounter. It gets me some really good friends with whom I believe I can have lots of interesting conversations. And it gets me a really good training partner. I remember the sheer joy of spending time with them would soon be overcome by the loneliness again. And I still didn't really find the motivation, and long-lasting joy from doing meaningful work until the "prelim pressure" overshadowed my mind. But on the other hand, I feel really really good and proud that I restarted bodybuilding/workout, or as they say, lifting. Equally significantly, it opens a window for me. I am talking about Christianity. More on that later.

The summer ended on high notes though. The prelim review was stressful, meaningful, fruitful, and in retrospect, successful. Started later than planned, progressed really inefficiently and slowly for a long time, it got its momentum short after July 4th. I remember I realize how much work I had to do, or how much I hadn't understood, in days leading to the July 4th holiday. And through the 40-days-or-so of overall intensive work, I felt my level of understanding of the modern macro foundation, and its mechanics, price theory, general equilibrium and game theory, really improved significantly. In those days, I always thought "Gosh! This is what I should have understood/got when I studied this. What was I doing?", and "I might just get what some already got or understood seven, eight months ago, of course they don't need to study much, if at all, now". And today, I still wouldn't say I am confident about getting everything the first year education should give me, all the knowledge underlying the problems (classic theory, the core theoretical understanding of economics). But at least I know, I went through a lot of things, and I should meet a lot of situations and realize, or recall, "I have done this before".

I passed both theory prelims, the first of many hurdles en route to a professional economist. My closest friends got what they deserved too. But there are surprises, on "both sides". Maybe just as one friend says, "if there is no surprise, it is not an 'exam'". Exams, just like big sports events, are cruel.

The title says, "the first year in retrospect". I shouldn't just talk about the summer, but days further back. The typical one-liner description is "the first year is tougher than I expected", and definitely not satisfactory. It started with a strange sense of indifference and boredom that could be explained by tremendous psychological trauma and fear left from the application days (the first half of 2009), and the strange feeling of being a "host" and old guy here.

Jim encouraged me in the beginning of the year to go to as many seminars as I could. I felt regretful not to follow his advice, as I still feel illiterate about the fields I am definitely interested in.

The core courses were poorly scheduled, especially in the first term. On Mondays and Wednesdays we had class from 8.30 to 10 and then 10-11.30. In the second term, we also had a 8.30 class--macro II. It is firmly in my opinion that such arrangements, along with the 8-10 A.M. finals, put students at disadvantage, unnecessarily so. But of course, the main point here is not to complain, but to confess: I didn't really try hard to match the schedule, go to sleep early to have my brain function optimally, or "normally" during class time. I always felt that if my brain felt good in the first class (metrics I), it would feel drained in the second class. Sometimes I was almost asleep in the first class, but felt much better in the second. Later in the term, I began to skip a lot of metrics lectures, because I couldn't get up that early. That per se didn't do much damage as I knew all those things before. But the "staying up late-->no energy for morning classes-->spend lots of time understanding the notes" vicious circle was what I hated the most, and I should confess the most deeply.

I really couldn't explain why I just didn't want to go to bed, even if I felt so tired and dizzy at mid-night or 1 A.M., and I wasn't there studying. I couldn't really explain, or tell what I was doing in late night: some meaningless light readings, the compulsion of checking news, tennis sites over and over, and something unspeakable. I tried to analyze it, but I realize that may get me additional troubles. Because as I think about it, like now, I feel that it is so easy to get to that "don't-want-to-get-to-sleep" mode, no matter you've had a good day, a productive day, an exhausting day, or a bad day. It is not easy for people to control their emotional flows, their mood, and people feel guilty too easily. It is sad and frustrating to realize these. To live a disciplined and responsible life, and be happy and motivated most of the time, is not easy. There seems nothing to prevent me from falling into the self-inflicted dizzy and low-productivity spiral. A good mix of working, reading, building muscles, and having good time with friends will keep me in the good state most of the time, which is more than I can ask for.

A few lines on specific regrets:
For 601 (decision theory), I definitely overlooked it. I could feel the insufficient practice on those materials every frequently, even now in the first two weeks of the second year.

On Lones, his course seemed loose and easy-going, you don't need to do work on regular basis and still could enjoy the lectures. But you were not actually REALLY enjoying it, or connecting with him, if you didn't do the work. He actually expected us to do a lot of work, the standard materials, and his own materials as well.

For 603 (general equilibrium), I learned the whole thing in late July and early August on my own. You can imagine how bad I felt about the me during those months and how proud I was after "being enlightened".

For 604 (mechanism design), I am not confident if I really got it. But maybe I wouldn't need those things too much in the future.

People say D.Stol is a nice person and a helpful mentor. I found him a little intimidating and not very easy to understand. But he asked for basic understanding and hard work, things I am not bad at. :) CH is a really good teacher. I regret for not putting enough time into the papers he mentioned, because of the distractions from history. But I think the course would be a better one if he could move through the "consumption" and "investment" more quickly and spent more time on RBC and the subsequent materials. I am sure he has a lot to say about "sticky price models", "real vs nominal rigidities" etc.

All in all, two lessons about all these first-year class mess: 1) I stayed up late, sometimes till 4 or 5 A.M. for no reason (can be attributed to stress and depression maybe?); 2) I didn't study enough outside the classroom. That resulted in not being able to follow the lectures very well. And that frustration translated to less and less motivation.

The economic history class was a totally different story. That was definitely the highlight of this year, curriculum-wise. Not only did I get the only "A" in this year in that class, but I felt I really learned a lot, though, honestly, I didn't read all the required readings. The professor is gentle, humble, encouraging, and extremely knowledgeable. I like his style. It takes talent, perseverance, patience and years of accumulation, talent to reach his level I think. And he seems to suggest that the environment has changed so much that we won't be trained to become that type of scholar. I am not sure that is a progress or a loss. I did a little Russian wheat project for that class. Judging by its "preliminary" report, it was downright ugly. I realize that it is really hard to form a logical structure to proceed and get things done within a pretty limited amount of time. But I think that will be still in the back of my mind. I will go back to that when I have time.

Lastly, I must say that my classmates were impressive, they are more than I expected. I really should have more eye-opening conversations with them.

I decided to run into finishing this article as I felt empty, void, and sort of depressed again coming back from Ma Lin's mid-autumn party. There are lots more to say, like the Clio Conference, my indebtedness to Lin, Ji, Bob and Jim, the valuable friendships with Taejun and Changkeun and a few other classmates, good conversations with lots of classmates etc, but I'd better stop here. As tomorrow is there waiting for me to embrace!

Best moments in life

*This was written on July 16th, 2010.

Last night, I watched a little bit ESPY: the American/ESPN version of the "Laureus Sports Award".

"Isner-Mahut's 11 hours" won the "best record-breaking performance" over Usain Bolt's "9'58" and Roger Federer's "15", among others. All ESPY awards were voted by fans. I really didn't know if I were to vote, which I would vote for. "Best" record-breaking performance, in terms of how hard this can be achieved? How hard it can be broken? Best inspirational? Or how "impressive"/"sensational" it is?

Maybe I will also go with "Isner-Mahut" because this match, much more than Federer's 15, stirs attentions much beyond tennis fans. And choosing it over Bolt is simply because I think he can run still faster.

I kind of feel for John. Time and again he mentioned he didn't want to be best remembered as "the guy who won the longest match in tennis history". But in this "media era", the moment when you got the most media attention doesn't always coincide with the moment you are the most substansively accomplished. This "longest match record" label, it seems, is impossible to be pulled off. How to really go beyond the shadow of this glory, first mentally, then realistically, is a tough question. Maybe, only if he can win a Grand Slam.

Realistically, he may still be best remembered for this match even with a Grand Slam, but he knows, if he wins a major, or a Master, or even, some final 8, final 4 finishes at the majors, those moments, so much more than June 24, 2010, will be the best moments in life.

On Rafa winning the US Open

This was written on Sept. 13th.

World No 2 Novak Djokovic put in a heroic effort to fight off 20 break points out of 26. But he, just like the Swede Robin Soderling last year in Roland Garros ("French Open" for the laymen), couldn't deny what seemed undeniable in the past fortnight but unimaginable just 8 months ago--Rafael Nadal, 24, won the 2010 US Open, becoming just the third man after Andre Agassi and Roger Federer in the history of tennis, to win ALL FOUR Grand Slams on four different surfaces!!!!!!!! He also became the first man since Rod Laver in 1969 to win the French Open, Wimbledon and the US Open in the same year!

The historic significance of this US Open final could go on and on. And every letter of this article should be capitalized and made font 36. Age 24, career Grand Slam, 9 major titles, Olympic singles gold medalist (08 Beijing), the winner of the "greatest tennis match ever played" (08 Wimbledon), and with all those unbelievable records on clay, he put himself right there in the GOAT (greatest of all time) debate, even if he hangs up his racket tomorrow.

Even at the start of this tournament, he is regarded by most fans and experts not to have the sheer TALENT, the VERSALITY, the CAPACITY, to win the whole thing. But over the years,he had transformed his backhand, polished his volley, flattened his forehand, learned to step up on fast surfaces, improved his return, and finally, in this year's Open, speeded up his serve by 10, 15 miles per hour! The message is, YOU GOTTA BELIEVE IN YOUSELF, and answer His call. Your every effort, God (whatever that may be) knows it, He will keep Juan Martin del Potro home, render Stan Wawrinka an assasin dagger, and listen to Nole's "spoiler" prayers too.

Rafa's US Open success is insane.

In the end, a poem which brings me to tears several times

Out of the night that covers me,
Black as the Pit from pole to pole,
I thank whatever gods may be
For my unconquerable soul.

In the fell clutch of circumstance
I have not winced nor cried aloud.
Under the bludgeonings of chance
My head is bloody, but unbowed.

Beyond this place of wrath and tears
Looms but the Horror of the shade,
And yet the menace of the years
Finds, and shall find, me unafraid.

It matters not how strait the gate,
How charged with punishments the scroll.
I am the master of my fate:
I am the captain of my soul.

The Chinese version?

有志者 事竞成 破釜沉舟 百二秦关终属楚

苦心人 天不负 卧薪尝胆 三千越甲可吞吴

Thursday, July 1, 2010

TO INFINITY, AND GO ON!!!--Wimbledon Notes Day 2 & 3

今天(2010-6-24)将因为John Isner和Nicolas Mahut的比赛而被载入史册。他们两个的大战使云变色。一场比赛在天气晴好的情况下被拖到第三天才能完赛。。。。

FACEBOOK 和校内上都成刷屏之势。我最喜欢的几条状态:

59 to 59... 9 hours of playing time and no one has won... yet

soccer players need to take a lesson from tennis: there are no ties, just keep playing until someone drops.

网球打到 59:59,堪比张飞夜战马超于葭萌关

Rafa在FB上留言:watching isner-mahut, UNBELIEVEABLE!!

没文化的小威在Twitter上:All I can say about John Isners match- WOW

罗 迪克不知如何表达惊讶:really really cant believe the match that took place..... will never ever ever happen again... unreal!

而且总是 有他的sardonic humor: seriously..... doesnt anyone have to pee? umpires included.

以和吓唬裁判为乐的麦肯罗在BBC解说时同情裁判:"This is one of the few times where I feel bad for the umpire,"

德约科维奇说 "Maybe they should agree on playing a tiebreak if it's 50-all,"

另 据在现场看到天荒地老的张奔斗转述麦肯罗的话 “他惊叹当今球员的体能,同时他表示这场比赛回使他们两人的运动寿命减少半年”。

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似 乎有很多要说的。

第一,技术统计上,我不得不渲染一番。That is what this match will be remembered for.

The match has not only broken but smashed virutally all longest match records. It is exactly ten hours old at this point—the only match in competitive history to go beyond nine, eight or seven hours.

Records set

Longest match: 10 hours (so far)
Previous record: 6 hours, 33 minutes Fabrice Santoro def. Arnaud Clement 1R French Open 2004

Most games played in a match: 163 (注:等于是打了将近13盘!!

Previous singles record: 112 Pancho Gonzalez 阿加西姐夫,上旋球创始人)def. Charlie Pasarell Wimbledon 1969
Previous doubles record: 122 Stan Smith/Erik Van Dillen def. Patricio Cornejo/Jamie Fillol Davis Cup, 1973

Longest men's singles set in history: 59-59

Previous record: 25-23 John Newombe def. Marty Reissen U.S. Open, 1969

(注: 还记得2003年澳网罗迪克和阿诺乌依的21-19么?)

Most aces served in a match: 98, Isner. 94, Mahut

Previous record: 78 aces Ivo Karlovic, l. to Radek Stepanek SF Davis Cup, 2009

(注:大满贯赛的单场ACE记录保持着也 是卡洛维奇,09年法网的55个。此外,令人印象深刻的还有Pim-Pim Joachim Johansson 05年澳网对阵阿加西四盘抢七负的比赛,发出了51个ACE。03年温网,Mark Philippoussis也是对阵阿加西,the match of his career,发出46 ACES五盘胜。另外,去年温布顿决赛,费德勒也发出了50 ACES。主要都是在第五盘。

Match statistics

Matchpoints for Isner: 4

Break points for Mahut in the fifth set: 2
Winners hit: 333 for Isner, 318 for Mahut
Unforced errors: 53 for Isner, 56 for Mahut
Aces: 98 for Isner, 94 for Mahut
Points won: 428 for Isner, 448 for Mahut
First medical treatment: 57-56 for Mahut (bandage repair)

First bathroom break: 58-58

第二,我想 有必要说些网易和新浪记者不说的,介绍一下我所知道的这两位选手。

John Isner是一个成长轨迹很另类的选手。他来自一个比较富裕的家庭,父亲是营造商,母亲是家庭主妇,他吃母亲做的一日三餐一直到年大学。他从来没想过不读 完本科就去打网球为生(Source: the bodo article "the articulate bulldog")。所以他真正正念了四年大学(2004-07),在Univerity of Georgia 以speech communication专业文学学士毕业。最后一年率领校队拿下了NCAA冠军,个人拿下单打亚军,双打冠军。大学生球员的生活和职业球员还是很不一 样,最大的不一样大概就是在大学城会有很多艳遇,而职业球员的生活是孤单饥渴的。拥有发球,正手,和高中大学八年校队的磨练,他在职业赛迅速打开局面,现 在已经来到世界前25名。他给我印象最深的是两场五盘大战——去年在US OPEN那个梦剧场,决胜盘抢七(只有US OPEN采取此制度)战胜罗迪克,以及今年戴维斯杯客场对德约科维奇,红土上战满五盘输球。John Isner 2.06米的身高是他出类拔萃的基础。他打的大鹏展翅的网球。发球-正手的one-two punch潇洒,由于双打打得很多,网前手感很好。接发球差,而移动灵活性由于受到身高的限制也不怎么样。天生的万人迷(至少我这么认为)造型和阳光气质 通过一组照片来表现吧。






Nicolas Mahut似乎是一位善打草地的球员。职业生涯仅有的两次巡回赛单打决赛经历都是来自草地。我看过他和罗迪克的女王杯决赛,罗迪克第三盘抢七险胜。他也是 1.90米的身高,正手和单手反手都非常犀利。而且,他有那么一点索德林般的悍匪气质。

最后,来探讨一下为什么比赛可以打得这么长以及为什么打得这么长是不可思议的。

客观上有很 多理由使得这场比赛变为可能:

首先,第一天的时候,这是最后一场比赛,有了“因天色过暗延期”。当时比赛进行了两个多小时。Mahut 2-1领先。

第二,伦敦气候凉爽,湿度不大。对球员体能的要求比墨尔本和纽约少很多。

第三,草地网球保发球局容易。

第 四,这两个人的发球都太好,而接发球水平,尤其是Isner,太差,以致形成deadlock。

但是,“不可思议”更多。

两 位都是非常高大的选手,大家都知道,人高马大的人在来回跑动后是小个子更容易累的——长跑的根本没有1.8以上很多肌肉的。这两位居然正常没抽筋没晕厥只 有叫了医疗暂停(仅有一个医疗暂停也是体育道德高的表现),真的是奇迹。

破发球局并非不可能,我看的片段中,我似乎好几次嗅到了双方发球局 的cracks,不知道是发球者神经太大条还是接发球者打出一个好球后就再没力打出第二第三个。那种能够结束比赛的flicker总是转瞬即止,始终没有 0-40那种死地。

John Isner看起来是完全的力竭,走都走不动了,表情非常痛苦。我不理解有了那种表情怎么可能还能撑着打40局。

不可思议他们怎么还能发出 190KMH+的发球,在30+/30+之后。
Mahut资格赛打上来的。我看了下面的记录,更加觉得他在重新定义人类体能极限!!!!!!

Mahut's last three matches
Current 1R: vs. Isner 4-6, 6-3, 7-6(7), 6-7(3), 59-59
Qualifying 3R: d. Stefan Koubek 6-7(8), 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4

Qualifying 2R: d. Alex Bogdanovic 3-6, 6-3, 24-22

这 场比赛对于除美网之后的大满贯决胜盘长盘决胜(一方必须连赢两局才可以获胜)的制度提出了合理的质疑。但是我十分希望,在唯转播商是从的美网改制之后,在 ATP废除大师赛决赛五盘三胜制,使得戴维斯杯和大满贯单打和温布顿男子双打成为唯一能看到五盘三胜制比赛的地方之后,不要再让这个传统成为电视转播商业 化需要的牺牲品。因为比赛的伟大程度永远与它展开的深度正相关。还没有开头,就匆匆煞了尾,没有逼到那个极限,就要轮盘赌定胜负,是很大的遗憾。非金球制 的加时赛和长盘决胜都是放宽限制给人更多机会的制度。虽然,土耳其对克罗地亚,伊斯内尔对马胡,都是千载难逢,但也 值得为这种千载难逢,保留这种制度,因为展现于体育中的人的精神, 而并非技术,才是最能打动人心的。

Wimbledon's "NEVER-ENDING" match:

TO INFINITY, AND GO ON~~~~

Flags are still there---Wimbledon Notes Day 4, 5 and 6

美国国歌歌词中有一句我每次听到都感觉摄人心魄

“Gave proof through the night

that our flag was still there”

Wimbledon经历了wacky的一周,一些听说过但从未看到过的,和从未听说 过的,陆续无所畏惧的登场,力图以颠覆秩序的大冷门与Isner-Mahut试比娇。试想:如果昨天Petzschner真的爆掉了Rafa,或者 Roger在前两轮被击败了,Isner-Mahut必然会更早的被交付到档案馆。

秩序受到了严峻挑战,但终未被颠覆。Flags are still there!!Roger的发球和定力,Rafa一如既往的意志力让他们晋级第二周。但是他们面临着不同的前途。PH Mathieu和Soderling都是big hitters,在伤情扑朔迷离的情况下,Rafa要有坚决主动进攻的胆决方能过关;而Roger首先对阵实力不济的Melzer,还可以期待 Berdych的意外出局。

从上届世界杯以来的第一次,人们似乎并不是从第一天起就心心念念Roger-Rafa的终极对决。Roger的 确出现了一些troubling signs,移动远不及当年,甚至去年,但是他第三轮似乎适度回应了质疑,不过不知道对手奉送胜利的成分有多大。Rafa的第二第三轮比赛连续1-2落后 被拖入五盘。第二轮对Hasse,对手的神勇发挥是他不能左右的,他始终主控节奏,play cleanly and keep the points short表现出强烈的进取心,五盘也不到三小时。第三轮的Petzschner真的是展现了为什么他可以排名世界三十九。和Hasse一样出色的发球和 explosive forehand,加上了更好的战术意识和连续进攻能力,比赛看起来更焦灼。Rafa赛中显出的左臂肌肉和膝盖不适令人大大调低他夺冠的几率。因为他没有 完美的状态,在Wimbledon对阵Murray或者Soderling,胜算不大。伤停是真是假?他伤停之后移动完美,立刻破发,但是他赛后宣布退出 下月的戴维斯杯赛休养,还大爆其迈阿密赛和蒙特卡洛赛后受伤的情形。 我想,不管怎样,自爆伤情是非常不智的,因为那样只能让你的对手增强击败你的信念。隐藏伤情,是顶尖选手保持震慑力和神秘感的重要手段。Roger对于 mono和背伤的处理就是很好的例子。

不管怎样,似乎不少人,包括我,已经做好了没有Roger也没有Rafa的Wimbledon决赛的 准备,虽然那会是莫大的遗憾,也必然会大大降低比赛的观赏性和历史意义。

在那些flags中,两个Andy的状态都不错。女王的驾临似乎给 Murray带来了好运,苏格兰人职业生涯第二次在大满贯前三轮不失一盘(第一次是在今年澳网)and never went close to lose one。他让我琢磨不定,因为每次觉得IT IS HIS TIME的时候,他总是让我失望。而且和他所最痛恨的英格兰(足球)队一样,他在最关键的时刻,总是没有那种冲破压力,疯狂进攻的胆决。在英格兰队出局之 后,全英国的压力更加集中地聚于他肩。击败Roger,把“since 1936”的重担once and for all地抛掉将是最好的戏码,但需要他在周一对阵Sam给我这个信心。

而the American Andy对阵Llorda和Kohlschreiber都顺利经过了考验。四盘拿下完全是意料之中。周一他恐怕是心态最放松的一个。

在有 ESPN3.COM之前从来看不到的双打也出现了一个冷门,英国的一对选手击败了世界排名第一,卫冕冠军Zimojic+Nester。。。

That's all for the first week in Wimbledon, a week full of drama, but without a single drop of rain.

在Wimbledon的诸多传统中,Middle Sunday是一个:为养护草坪计,除非下雨严重拖延赛程,第一周的星期日不安排比赛。所以也就造就了一天内进行男女各八场round of 16的Magic Monday. 因为签表,今年的Magic Monday是truly magical.





The Fall of Constantinople--Wimbledon Notes Day 9

More entitled than Rome, the truly "city of eternity" is Constantinople. Its build-up came at the downfall of Rome, marking the start of the "Middle Ages". For more a thousand years, it is the biggest, crowdiest and the wealthiest city in the Western civilization. The walls of Constantinople could only be threatend by earthquakes.

If Roger Federer is a city, he would be Constantinople. A Leo, the Swiss Lion's first roar came after the official annoucement of Sampras "the Rome" :), with the fading Agassi and Kureten and the lackluster generation of Roddicks, Hewitts, Ferreros and Safins as background. He stormed though 2004 in an astonishing fashion that could only be matched by the erected monuments and the grand St Sofia cathedral in Constantinople.

The Byzantine emperors would fortify their capital with accumulated capital, extended frontiers and the Theodosius Wall (outskirt fortifications). In the case of Federer, something more impressive and admirable than the build-up of the empire was taking place analogously: his pursuit of perfection extremified--forehand, backhand, serve, and the basis of these all, the footwork. On court he waltzed, and then he blitzed. His unmatched God-given talent plus his never-stopping progress made onto his game transformed him into the untouchable, not only the king, but the God, except on clay. Thus his ambition extended. His forehand, and then his whole game changed, for Roland Garros, the only Grand Slam that evaded him.

The walls of Constantinople could only be threatend by earthquakes. Just as in the history where the earthquakes to Constantinople were only followed the speedy repairs and further fortifications, earthquakes like the Safin coup in AO 2005, Canas surprises in 2007(?), and later, Djokovic uprising in 2008, seemed only to strengthen him in retrospective. The closet analogy of Rafael Nadal on Roger "the Constantinople" will be "the Crusades": he produced severe damages, but later retreated. Ultimlatey the time, and his growing loss of direction with the Coupe des Mousquetaires (The Musketeers' Trophy) can beat him. And it takes some huge gun power from a Mehmed II, in this case, the 193cm Czech man, Tomas Berdych.

June 30, 2010 is the May 29, 1453 of tennis history. This day, on the most hallowed turf of this sport of string and bat, the colossal Swiss man, the king of grass, and undisputely the GOAT, fell, deterministically, to "Sultan" Tomas Berdych in four sets, ending his regime in Wimbledon, and with it, a "Middle Age" for tennis.

Yes, Roger's regime is a "Middle Age" of tennis. Both times are "Dark Ages" for dissidents, blissful, peaceful times for the pious. The All-Mighty (the Church/Federer) in the center and the trinity (trinity/the three Grand Slams: Oz, USO and Wimby Roger dominated) as its fortresses. He ruled the sport in such a suffocating manner that he amazing had records such as "beating the top 10 players for 26 consecutive times", "advancing to the Grand Slam semifinals for a consecutive 23 times". And he rules for so long that 99% of the post-1985 non-Americans don't even know who else has been the World Number One until August 2008.

All these can be declared "past" NOW. This Berdych win over Roger is the fall of Constantinople. When this great campaign started, Federer's serve was as reliable and steady as the Constantinople walls. He paid for his cracks in one game in the first set. But the inconsistency seemed over-comable. And few clues of a SHOCK. Berdych fired some brilliant gun powders, off both wings, and of course, with the serve. He put pressure on Roger's backhand consistently. And that he pulled himself out of the double-break deficit in the second set, thus not losing the momentum and gaining the "serve first" advantage proved to be crucial in this match.

The third set progressed into the unthinkable. The manner he missed and lost, his sluggish steps, and his futile "Come On"s, all the failed tries to really get into this match symbolized something unreversable. He never stepped up. He showed us what the subtle aging and slightly lower pace could lead to--the loss of magic power, the loss of seamless defense-offense transition, the completion of de-deification, on the ultimate altar!

For the fourth set, I begin to feel for all the Roger fans, like XHL. Both sides played great, and you would always imagine, if you watched LIVE, that Tomas would suddenly wake up, and falter, and choke, but no, it is a matured Berdych, and he is not in a dream. He has the nerves now, and he is recalling Athens 2004. I begin to like him, his shot-making. But still, Roger, with all his versatilities, had every chance to turn it back. But he couldn't make it. A brilliant last game ended with a signiature forehand incide-out winner for Berdych of the Czech Republic. Into the record books it goes: Berdych defeated Federer by 3 sets to 1, 4-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-4, and it is Berdych vs Djokovic in the seminfinal.te

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Ricky Martin Coming Out Of Closet

And his personal website is currently un-available. lol

Sunday, March 28, 2010

On Pope Benedict XVI

It is never wise to bash a religious leader, but it is in my firm belief that they can be judged as well, just like other powerful men such as Obama or Bill Gates. And it is a little bit weird to me that people acknowledging Enlightenment would accept, embrace, worship and defend such a notion like "pope", "Dalai Lama" etc. (well, it is legitimate to say Tibetans spiritually haven't experienced an Enlightenment. Whether some other forces who force an Enlightenment on them should be demonized is open to debate) etc.

I am very far from Tibet, and Roman Catholics. And I don't assume AP or NYT to be just and impartial, without any hidden motive. But to me, this case adds to my impression that current Pope sucks.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/03/25/world/europe/20100325-priestabuse-timeline.html?ref=europe

Friday, March 26, 2010

One more time: "The Greatest Match"

THE GREATEST MATCH

Federer vs Nadal, 2008 Wimbledon Final

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d71mmBZfSMs

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cpGhZanBV8

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UDZD42zNLQ0

Monday, March 22, 2010

On The Health Care Reform

As I expected, Professor Smith opposed this bill. But very surprisingly, he mentioned his support of a sustainable universal health care.

Here are some important facts about the health care legislation that was passed in U.S. House of Representatives yesterday after two years of annoying politics, along with some background knowledge.

1- This bill does NOT include a public option or the "single-payer system".

["Public options" in these two years of debate, are plans

1) offered by the federal governments, 2) competing with private insurance plans in an internet based exchange or market place, 3) accessible to persons who are NOT covered by employer plans or by state insurance plans such as Medicare ONLY.

The plans would be financed ENTIRELY by premiums without subsidy.

Single-payer system is basically the "government takeover" of the provision of health care to some extents, i.e. government will use the taxes and premium it collects from the citizens to pay most, if not all, medical expenses of the population.]

2- Way of payment: Increases the Medicare payroll tax from 1.45% to 2.35% on incomes over $200,000 for individuals and $250,000 for families. **Actually this is a change from 2.9% to 4.7%.

[The current Medicare payroll tax structure: 2.9% of wages without upper limit (1.45% by individuals, 1.45% from employers, 2.9% for self-employed. But the 50-50 share means nothing. The actual tax incidence depends on labor elasticity.) No FICA tax for university students.]

3- Expanding Medicaid to 133% of federal poverty level.

[Current policy: very complicated. I am not sure. Things I do know 1) the eligibility criteria vary a lot among states; 2) Being very poor alone does NOT make one automatically eligible for Medicaid. Number of people that may benefit from this expansion: remained to be checked.]

4- Regulation 1--No discrimination on "pre-existing conditions". Law now prohibited health insurers from refusing coverage or differentiating premium based on patients medical histories and/or gender.

5- Regulation 2--States-run health exchange.

Here "states" mean state governments, not "the nation state". State governments run the exchange, not "federal government"! The federal government will mandate that newly-created State insurance exchanges include at least two national plans that are created by the Office of Personnel Management, among which at least one will have to be a private non-profit plan.

6- Illegal immigrants: CAN NOT take part in the exchange, even if they are willing to or can afford it.

7- Abortion: Theoretically, no federal money will be used for elective abortion unless "extreme" cases, like rape. etc.

Comments:

People don't know what need to know. People don't care what they should care. And they are easily deluded. Stupid protesters in front of the Capitol Hill these days....

It is uniquely American that a $871b/10 year bill will go down to fetuses. Americans are obsessed on "abortion".

This bill is a small step towards the right direction. But from Hilary Clinton's loss in the Democratic Primary, thus the burial of her demonized idea of the "government mandate of employer-provided health care" and such, to Obama's zero support on the "single-payer system" in the debate, to the kill of the "public option" in the Senate Bill, this reform has been full of compromise and regression. "econjeff"'s opinion that "The bill we got is a tax and spend bill, not an evidence and efficiency bill" makes some sense.

Friday, March 19, 2010

新华社的最新评论说明:事情正在起变化

新华网河北香河3月19日电(记者郑道锦、公兵)韦迪不是一个“赌徒”,这点毫无疑问。也许有人对他敢公开说喜欢“举国体制”和“国奥踢中超” 的想法感到恐惧、排斥和疯狂,从而把他归结为又一个急功近利、胆大妄为的豪赌客,但是当他用逻辑清晰、合乎情理的语句将媒体关于国字号球队新组建方案的种 种质疑一一化解时,你不得不承认,他对于自己所设计的新 提案有着充分的自信和理性的思考,他更像是一个睿智而又充满魄力的改革者。

在18日首次公开他这份语惊四座的提案前,国内不少媒体和球迷都对国奥队要踢中甲联赛的消息持负面态度,称这是用举国 体制来代替职业化的一种倒 退,也是为了追求政绩工程的畸形产物,然而韦迪不仅没有妥协,反而公开推出了一份升级版计划:让国奥队直接去踢 中超,国青队去踢中甲,国少队去踢中乙。这样的结果真是让人始料未及,而面对媒体的唇枪舌剑,韦迪的从容应答也展现了他在这个问题上的深思熟虑,不管是在 理论上还是在实际操作上,韦迪对其新方案的 合理性都有着很深的认识。

在理论上韦迪主要突破了几个思维定势,首先,他认为不能照搬西方职业化的模式,不能说西方模式就是好的,因为中国足球各方面的具体环境 和西方都 不一样,应该为了提高足球水平和未来的可持续发展尽快探索出一条有中国特色的新路;其次,他认为在中国职业联赛和国字号球队之间 的平衡上可以充分发挥举国 体制的优势,其实足球领域的举国体制和职业化都是对各种资源进行配置的方法,在现有职业化模式让许多国字号球员无法得到提高水平机会的情况下,用举国体制 的优势可以充分调动闲置资源,让在各俱乐部打不上主力的各 级国家队适龄球员多打比赛,提高水平,为此他还特别以日本、韩国的职业联赛 中都有相当的“举国体制”痕迹为例,证明举国体制有其合理性。

第三,他强调各级国家队必须要统一技战术风格,而这就需要国奥队、国青队、国少队能有完整的队伍和多在一起打 比赛的机会,不能各自为战,风格混 乱;最后,他既否定了“政绩足球”和“出线足球”,又强调不能任由国字号球队水平下滑或长期停步不前,否则“排头兵”的萎靡会直接影响中国足球运动的大环 境,球迷也将无法忍受。因此他强调不能“等、靠、要,”而是要积极探索出一条可以尽快提高水平的可持续发展新路。

在现实操作层面,韦迪的 新方案在设计上也充分考虑到各方利益的平衡,从而尽可能地避免了矛盾:第一,各中超、中甲俱乐部只贡献出非主力适龄队员 给国奥队,并且让国奥队只是在周中去和各个俱乐部踢客场比赛,这样就能保证联赛整体赛程不受影响,不会出现以前那种“联赛为国家队让路”的局面,也保证了 俱乐部用人的利益;第二,国奥队参加中超联赛只计分,不计名次,这一方面让各中超球队为了积分而在对国奥队比赛时需要尽全力,又让国奥队的出现不影响俱乐 部正常的名次和升降级;第三,在国奥队集训或比赛期间,各俱乐部只需要支付相关球员的基本工资,其他的奖金、津贴和保险等费用完全由中国足协负担,而俱乐 部也可以在联赛中的比赛前向国奥队要人;第四,国奥队的选拔将扩大视野,而入选的球员在国奥队得到锻炼、增强实力其实也是对各俱乐部有利,因为他们仍然归 属各俱乐部,等回归俱乐部后则能增强该俱乐部的实力;第五,整个方案将交 给中超委员会和中甲委员会投票表决通过,这也能充分展现中国足协的民主管理,让各 俱乐部对新方案有民主决策权。

总之,这份构思精巧的新方案并不是为了豪赌奥运会或世界杯,它没有让国 字号球队与俱乐部之间出现许多利益冲突,又具备了相当强的灵活性,各级国 字号球队的人员构成也将根据具体情况调整。韦迪表示,如果这份方案成功执行,将使得国奥队、国青队的球员每年能多踢十几场比赛,足协会再安排外国球队与国 字号球队过招,让他们保证每年有40-50场比赛的机会,从而尽快提高水平。

尽管这份方案很有探索性和建设性,韦迪也对它的通过极有信 心,但他也保持了相当的清醒,他说:“这份方案肯定会有问题,但是我不怕问题,问题出 现了我们会想办法去积极解决问题。”

狂人名帅穆里尼奥在初到英超时曾有句名言:“我是一个特别的人。”结果他成功地塑造出 一头令人胆寒的斯坦福桥蓝狮。而现在的韦 迪也在时时地表现出他的特别之处,面对种种阻力、压力和保守观念,这位上任不到两个月的足管中心主任体现出了一个斗士的决心和改革者的魄力。尽 管韦迪精心推出的新方案能否获得通过和效果如何还需要实践来检验,不过对于死水一潭的、充满了原始和迂腐气味的中国足球来说,正需要这样风格的领导者来冲 击出别样的波澜。

评论:

套用在城门楼子上的画像的一句话,新华社的评论说明,“事情正在起 变化”。习副总说了要抓足球,结果就是这样一个抓法。。。

我所谓这篇报道中,透露出“事情者在其变化”的意思,是指本文中一些标出的语句充分表现了中国新一代领导人对于“市 场经济规律,合约自由精神,经济社会长治久安之基础”缺乏认识,洋务洋务,一百年后还是心心念念“中学为体,西学为用”。 一百年前是维护一姓一族的专制,今朝是维护一党的专制。我忘记了是哪个大师驳斥林毅夫的的一句话,根本不存在什么“中国经济学”,中国的经济发展,不会为 经济学带来新规律。这也许不完全对。解释一国奇异的发展,必然离不开该国奇异的禀赋。但是,改革开放“解放生产力、发展生产力”的实质就 是告别计划经济,告别低效率的举国体制,走自由主义和laisser faire之路。政府的强力主导,基础设施建设以及金融管控等 等,对于奠定基础,意义很大。但是我们没有问如果没有放开让大家去搞会是怎样,我们忘记了问顺水推舟是不是会更好。当 然,什么都顺水推舟,改变了政府和民众的经历力量对比,自然对于维持一党专制不利,而这就是问题了。政府维系合法性的就是不断给予,但是我们总是忘记,政 府本身不没有产能,这些建设无疑还是来自于税收,而且这些“基于所伴随的巨大浪费,无效率和贪污腐败,是不可忽略的一部分。现在,“国力 强盛”了就忘记来时路,盲目自信,为所欲为,指鹿为马,从本质上背弃了改革开放的成功经验,认为政府是万能的,继续强 化政府主导,挤出私人实业投资,并严重压抑企业家精神,我们所面临的将是一个越来越僵化、泡沫化、虚妄的经济。而社会的公平正义,环境 的永续发展更是无从谈起。

Andy Murray is a bastard. And he is a cowardly bastard

http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2010/mar/17/john-lloyd-davis-cup-captain-resigns

http://sports.163.com/10/0319/00/623L042S00051CDG.html

请 看报道。我写本文的缘起。。。

OK 因为穆雷以种种理由不参赛,只关心他优化自己的赛程挣钱挣积分——戴维斯杯每年的第一比赛日与大满贯冲突不大,主要是和北美两站大师赛有些冲突,英国已经 一败再败,组别一降再降,似乎都比中国组别低了。前些天输给一个“只出健美冠军”(其实好像还有打几个篮球的)的立陶宛之后,John Lloyd终于不堪其辱辞去教练员一职。

他到好,为Lloyd一点好话不说,还开始对于下一任教练指手画脚。他不喜欢Greg Ruseski,后就自然被封杀出局;Tim Henman不愿担此任务多半是对Murray坏脾气和自私自利十分寒心;他还特别之处LTA不要抢他的教练。。。英国选了和穆雷心意的教练这家伙还是不会打戴维杯。。。

网球大腕左右一国戴维斯杯的教练人选甚至网协人事,古已有之。因为人事罢赛,男女都有。网坛大腕对于戴维斯/联合会杯, 国家荣誉的淡漠也完全不少见。但是在在“一个人的球队”的国家,对呆维斯杯如此不负责任的,我没有见过。

穆雷的坏脾气,人品不咋样,没什么 不好,对于费的出言不逊,是好的。Jimmy Conors, John McEnroe, Ivan Lendl, Boris Becker这些人都是些无良杂种。但关键是,他们嘴硬嘴坏,球拍更硬,他们在温布顿,在纽约,留下的壮丽故事为人津津乐道。Bad asses are cool. But Andy Murray is not only a bastard. He is a cowardly bastard.打不过人家还有如此多的这个那个的,的确让人爱不起来。

交手记录没有用的,要看大满贯交手记录。。。我以上的一切,在将来 他击败Federer(或者Nadal也行。。)拿下大满贯冠军后,就完全作废。但是我看不到那一天。。

Sunday, February 28, 2010

JCF_Gulbis_2010 Winter Games Encore

JCF's dream run ended. Three finals in three weeks proved his burning desire and spectacular athleticism and conditioning at the age of 30. Three TITLES in threee weeks could mean much more. Many are amazed and begin to wonder: Can he make some noise in Roland Garros? We still have to look at see, to see his performance on the bigger stage like Monte Carlo and Rome? I still have the feeling that his "nature" makes him need more win to consolidate and believe. Of course, I am happy to see him back and see endurance and tenacity pay off. But on the other hand, he has nothing special, technically.

Gulbis won in Delray Beach for his maiden ATP title. It starts there. I really really hope he can rise. He ought to be a Masters level and Top 10 player at least.

2010 Winter Olympics is definitely the Winter Games I am most exposed to so far. It started with the undescribable tragedy of Nodar Kumaritashvili, reached its emotional peak (for myself) in the pair figure skating, mixed with the un-understandable defeat of a genius to an artistic hard-worker, pumped up with the sweeping performance of the Chinese short track team (women) against the Koreans, and concluded with a destiny fulfilled--Canada topped the gold medal count and won the gold medal in men's hockey tournament. It has been a great games, but we have to wait to see the long-term effect--mainly, the legacy of debt--to be evaluated, and unveiled.

Saturday, February 27, 2010

Nationalism and the Reconstruction of Order in East Asia

中国、日本、韩国的三角关系,是非常有趣的话题。我和Taejun对不了解情况的班上同学的解释就是 "Chinese, Japanese, Koreans, they hate one another". ——两两都是看不惯,两两都是互相揭露、取消、鄙视,更深层次的,两两都是积郁的复杂仇恨。

相比较日韩对于中国的了解,我们对于日韩的了解 都不足。我们骨子里的轻视和“都是学我们”,“老子当年阔”的观念,影响着我们怎样写历史以及我们对历史的观感。我们所写的感受到的历史也是存在严重问 题、对显示和未来有害的。在韩国的课本上,真的是世代传诵韩国五千年历史,中国四千多年,曾经东北都是韩国的土地,印刷术是多少多少年在韩国首创等等,但 是同时,他们对于中国历史的了解,从三国水浒,到唐诗宋词,以及秦汉唐明,万里三大征和中国近代史,比我们对于韩国的三国、高丽大字等等了解的多很多。很 自然,我们会说他们了解我们多是应该的,而他们和我们都一样,只不过是后进兼缩小版本,为什么要去关心。我们把朝鲜族算到五十六个民族里面,多少人认为他 们就是我们一个特别会种稻米和做米糕的子集,但既然以前都一样,子集,现在怎么忽然变得在语言、文字、文化、风俗习惯上有如此大的差异?

我 们忽略、无视朝鲜/韩国,在历史上是一个相对独立的单一民族地区。汉族文化似乎覆盖了整个原始文化。佛教造像、书画、服饰、文官典制、陶瓷艺术,一切的一 切,“韩国的那些东西不就是中国的么”?但是,那片地方加上现今中国东北地区永远是韩人治韩的。他们只是借了我们的字,而从来没有讲我们的话。后来,他们 发明了高丽大字。并且在历史上有很多不同的社会风俗,比如,在疯狂打杀过一阵后,在很近的古代极端重文轻武、积贫积弱。

这个问题对于日本更 是严重。日本人热衷于汉文化,例子不胜枚举了吧。《霸王别姬》里真正懂戏的军官,和《庄子》《论语》信手拈来的我的同班同学。而另一方面,我们总是惯于想 象“日本人,本来就是徐福后人,学我们几千年,看我们不行了转得快,学西方,结果反过来欺负我们”。我们京都古迹觉得像,看姬路、大阪城,居然还是觉得 像。其实,人种上来讲,日本人和汉族中国人相差不小。当然,好事者必然要说“汉族中国人本来就是一个无法作为标杆的杂混概念,他已经融入了鲜卑匈奴羌氐羯 契丹各种血液”,而且“考证日本人血统的人类学恐怕也是他们自大的编造”,好。我们来看日本的古代社会。日本的古代社会的发展历程,抛弃那些与中国飘渺中 相似的名号,与欧洲相似度超过中国很多,贵族社会,实际上没有科举一说,真正的封建制【**中国在西周春秋时期是封建制,战国之后是一种无法用西方社会演 化理论名字归纳的ancient civil society or ancient modern society(本观点李晓风师为启蒙,名词是我的胡乱创造)封建制定义请阅读法国人布吕赫《封建社会》前三章】。而且大量存在土著宗教,连传入的佛教也 演化出不少仪式和思想。日本充其量是“有日本特色的汉文明”,其与汉文化的距离,参见“有中国特色的社会主义”与“西欧正统社会主义”的距离。

北海道上的虾夷人/阿伊鲁人,更是和我们生物/人类学上关系八丈远。

所 以,心平气和地看历史,或者仔仔细细地去观光,你就发现:很简单,他们和我们如此不同,从传统到现代,他们原来不可能之只是洗脑学我们,我们从来完全“征 服和覆盖”了他们。我们是不同的,他们是独立的,朝鲜是我们的外围政权,朝贡与承认的关系我不懂历史不知如何界定,但可以认为,朝鲜是独立 的,vaguely by modern standard。韩国人说我们历史上从来没有被征服过,除却1895-1945,算是对的。而日本完全和中国就是独立的,没有附庸和卑躬的表示,“汉倭 奴国王印”,只是汉天子自己的YY。

我们可以认为,日本韩国在历史上是独立发展的。这是在东亚政治语境下,我希望在中国国民中建立起来的正 确观念。对于日韩,我是祖宗的国家主义是危险和错误的。汉族文明善于用物质和文化消弭和同化闯进来的入侵者,另外,不在意在外围大破大立,彻底根除,直接 统治。也许这里面有很多历史细节可以争辩,但是这个性格判断大抵正确。

这不代表我们以前客观,近代国家化以来自大。但是古代的自大,那些昭 陵勒石和波斯浮雕,与近代不同。我们把对一家人(或者说一个统治集团)的夸耀和傲气赋予给了一个想象的共同体。民族国家化在日韩怎么实现的,我并不很清 楚。但是在中国,恐怕是孙中山等的远见(否则五道杠是没有的,惟铁血十八星而已)、五四运动肇始、蒋介石时期巩固强化,共产党时期大加强化(本判断有待商 榷!)。我说国府时期已经形成的观点来源于我对于当时知识分子言论和心境九牛一毛的了解,还有各种运动和抗日战争时的public sentiment。民族国家是一个想象的共同体。人们为此掉泪送命,而认为理所应当,这成为一种强大的力量。二十世纪上半叶,日本的国家主义暴虐强烈激 发了中国的国家主义,烧热还被压抑中的韩国的国家主义。在1945年后,历史曾经给中国了一个很美好的机会。美国在付出惨痛代价击败日本之后,虽然决定不 废除天皇制,只是罢黜国家神道而非根除神道整体,但是他们确乎把日本定位为一个“亚洲中等国家”——以当时缅甸为标准。美国希望中国成为东亚堡垒和主导 国。如果当时国共两党能够达成不可能达成的“共治”协议,一个美国主导,中国为中心的东亚秩序,与现今现实的东亚秩序可谓天渊之别。中国在美国最需要它的 时候,变红了。之后,因为意识形态对抗,相当长的一段时期内东亚秩序变成了美国扶持、日本主导,封锁共产中国、南北韩紧张对立的格局。而在其中,美国不信 任的中国,是最大的输家(当时阶段)。日本一方面协助遏制,一方面占尽亲缘和地缘优势与中美贸易,吃里扒外,大赚大发。

共产党解除了部分生 产关系桎梏之后,中国成为世界最庞大yet最具增长潜力的经济体可能在我PhD 毕业前就成为现实。韩国经济一些方面强大,另很多地方还是small open economy.还是时有不稳之虞;日本制造业的技术优势依然强大、无可比拟,但国家陷入似乎无法逆转的迟暮和债务深渊中。这种背景下,东亚秩序的重建势 在必行。当今在三国都日益高涨的民族国家主义,使得这种重建背负上了很强的失败的危险。我认为,东亚地缘的冲突是中国最现实的威胁。美国在最是实质指标都 退居第二之后,它第二的位置似乎稳固。而且,在“自由”旗帜和其怀疑政府的政治传统(导致不会铺张福利或是民粹掌权)下,它的人力资源优势和发展潜力将持 续存在,如果形成美国敌视中国,为恢复东亚主导权默许日本“正常国家化”和国家主义无限制发挥,对于中国将非常不利。

美国为何敌视中国?这 并非是很多人所描绘的那样,美国人天生歧视仇恨和鄙夷中国和中国人,美国政府就是要百般掣肘中国发展因为中国发展了,美国就会受损害。美国那种在日本崛起 时没有的更深刻的不安以及由此引起的妖魔化,是来源于“一个如此强大的国家却和我们想的不一样”——它并非一个民主国家,它会做出什么事情来? 如果中国民主化,美国敌视中国,不惜养狼屠龙的可能性就会大大降低。不承认美国对东亚的霸权却承认美国的价值,这是可以做到的。事实上,一个弱化了国家主 义,有更多common ground的东亚是最理想的东亚,这在历史上“可能”能达到:就是美国更加彻底的打垮并重建日本,灌注以其更多的美国价值观。而这一切在中国局势稳定的 情况下完成。美国继续对一个名义民主、经济上弱小的中国施加影响。若干年后,中国和韩国民众自发的改造一党专政,实现宪政。等等。弱化国家主义,是解决国 家利益冲突的很重要的条件。以上想象是靠外力弱化国家主义,事实上,通过个体觉醒,也可能实现:我们反思国家主义,反思为何本不同的我们认定“一个想象的 共同体”。民族国家的本质牵涉到人权高于主权,还是主权高于人权的问题。如果一个国家不在你身后,你会怎样?答案是:你还可以是一个强大自由的人。这两种 途径同样都是高度理想化,十分不切实际的。如何重建东亚秩序,现实的中的动态过程估计就是中日双方竞相结盟美国,而美国平衡实力,从中得利。

Sunday, February 21, 2010

Horny MIT

b看到一篇很有趣的文章,于是去MIT的校报上去查了查

那篇文章是关于MIT学生性生活调查的。详情请点击之这里

这里面有一些背景知识:

MIT对于院所是按照缩写和数字代称的,原来并非清华、北航SB,工程学校的祖师爷就是这么干的……相关讯息请见这里

几张有趣的图:

1- Anal sex popularity by living places

2- Virginity % by year



3-What counts as SEX?


此外,该校报的most read articles TOP 5如下

  1. Sex@MIT: The Survey (10/30/09)
  2. When it’s said and done,
    will she spit it out or swallow?
    (2/16/10)
  3. The Tech’s 2010 Sex Toy Giveaway (2/2/10)
  4. I Don’t Need No Minute Man (2/2/10)
  5. And The Vibrator Goes To… (2/12/10)

这篇文章高居榜首,而下面这几篇也都是重口味:

第二篇由口交后男生不会亲吻女生讨论起,题目是问:口交后,女生是吞下去,还是吐出来。

第三篇the title tells it all.

第四篇就是恩……所谓符合很多人想象的美国豪放女……看了就知道。

第五篇似乎是呼应第三篇的,情人节前一帮人饥渴、抱怨、发骚。

Yasukuni never ends

This is a "highly controversial place" in the eyes of Westerners. But "controversial" is too vague and too aloof a word, as is the attitude towards WWII of the Japanese.

On the informal "Chinese New Year's Dinner", I just learned that Yoshi came from a diplomat family. Coming from a diplomat family and saying "I am not so familiar with the history", "that is the most diplomatic answer I've ever heard", as James or Max put it.

TJ once brilliantly summarized the public sentiment of the three countries: "Koreans, Chinese and Japanese, they all hate each other."

After some random surfing, I found this Space. This guy took many rarely-seen photos in the museum attached to Yasukuni--Yushukan.

http://jediliao.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!29FF4A5E063607DB!323.entry
http://jediliao.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!29FF4A5E063607DB!343.entry
http://jediliao.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!29FF4A5E063607DB!367.entry
http://jediliao.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!29FF4A5E063607DB!416.entry

The topic of Yasukuni never ends.

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

The Nirvana!!!!_Another Olympic moment

Pang Qing and Tong Jian gave their very best "on this day", but this cannot match the Nirvana of a 18-year-long, 4-Olympics story of endeavor, redemption, and later, of love.

Shen/Zhao won gold and Pang/Tong won silver, China ended Russia's 44-year gold medal monopoly in the pair figure skating in a spectacular way. Another Olympic moment in history!

Pair figure skating is such a unique sport. It is beyond sports, as Zang said. It is so demanding and detail-oriented when you see this, yet so free-flowing when you watch it. It is about one-ness, evetually. That's where no one can match (our beloved) Shen/Zhao.

Olympics has some bias for "seniority". That's sometimes an ultimate test for atheletes. People like Xiong Ni, are the ones I admire. Such stories are few in China.

Lastly, from Beijing to Vancouver, watching Olympics on NBC is such an enjoyable experience, 100 times better than CCTV.

Saturday, February 13, 2010

Two songs for Chinese New Year

Actually,

Chinese Han as an identity, China as a civilization, China as a bounded entity....

It is perplexed.... I cannot declare something definite.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LQyyh1zc44

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7EAeINa9h8

Friday, February 12, 2010

Vancouver 2010: maybe too fast?

Yesterday night, I planned to blog on Vancouver 2010. Now I am blogging it with a totally different mood.

NYT has been providing outstanding coverage even before the Games starts. I found this photo (on left) especially touching.

There are some commercials on Youtube. I am not particularly interested in CAN, but I found this one inspiring. For God's sake, it has been played on CBC since Beijing 2008!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2x675GbJOxg

Hope and dynamics.

And I just knew yesterday, there is a super-handsome Chinese Canadian figure skater.
Enjoy one of his perfect showdown here:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xc2jXafZZws

But just hours ago, another young man's dream and hope ended abruptly and brutally, on the fastest luge track in the world, Whistler, especially built for this winter Games.

The details can be found here:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/02/12/sports/olympics/LUGEDEATH.html
And here (GRAPHIC CONTENT WARNING!):
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/35373302#35373302

Now, this photo--I hesitate whether to put it on, because this is not sth you want to see in Chinese New Year's Eve--leads us to the main discussion.

The Olympic motto reads "faster, higher, stronger". Are we going too fast?

I hung out with CK and TJ this evening and missed most of the opening ceremony. But I can feel from the words of the President of the Vancouver Games Organizing Committee that this tragedy casts pall over the Games.

Many winter sports greatly depends on "technology". The technologies can satisfy the human nature of winning, erecting new monuments of human spirit. But the way the technologies work--MORE (steroids, used for gaining muscles/strength/stamina), FASTER (many equipments in various sports, and field/track/swimming suits), HARSHER, naturally expose us, sexy, fit, yet so tender human bodies, to greater and more horrified dangers.

As ESPN headline reads "the Games must moves on", people tend to forget too easily, there will be newer, more frictionless luges developed after this accident; there will be faster tracks built just so that a Games can be remembered for "an event of record books"....Human lives, even in thousands (1989) or hundreds of thousands (1960-62), are often negligible under the name "FORWARD". The "FORWARD" onrush is always unstoppable, but maybe sometimes we should stop to think: whether we have the rights to choose, to choose not to go too fast.

Obama for spring commencement, Awesome

From Michigan Daily:

President Barack Obama will deliver the spring 2010 commencement address at the University of Michigan, President Mary Sue Coleman announced today.

President Obama will receive an Honorary Doctor of Laws Degree.

"President Obama has captured the imagination and enthusiasm of many students with his inspiring words of hope and change. We are honored to welcome a leader of his distinction and look forward to his message," Coleman said. "We could not be happier for the graduates who will celebrate their academic achievements with the president of the United States."

The ceremony will be held at 10 a.m. May 1 in Michigan Stadium. The university awards degrees to about 3,500 undergraduate students at spring commencement, before an audience of more than 40,000. Ticket information will be released at a later date.

In Ann Arbor,
Presidential candidate JFK proposed the Peace Corp;
President LBJ made the first pledge to the "Great Society";
What will Obama deliver???
Looking forward to this PRESIDENTIAL visit!!!!!!


Strangely enough, it will only the fourth time in US history that a sitting president visits the University of Michigan.

The previous three were Bush I in May 1991, (our very own) Gerald Ford in September 1976, and the most famous one, LBJ in May 1964.

http://www.lbjlib.utexas.edu/johnson/archives.hom/speeches.hom/640522.asp

Monday, February 1, 2010

2010 Oz Open Commentary: China Takes Center Court (Part 1 and 2)

The following two articles were written on Jan 29th, 2010. Chinese tennis attracted worldwide attention in Australian Open 2010: two female players advanced into the singles semifinals. This group of articles mean to discuss the brief history of Chinese tennis, its recent "institutional reform" and its significance in reforming the "central-planning, state-owned 'professional' sports system".

澳洲网球公开赛在我眼里,它是画面上最亮丽的一个大满贯,澳洲人的闲适、激情与欢乐,你从第一周日场比赛的上座率(因为第二周有国庆假期)清楚看 到。原来,那里可以见到最完美的Agassi。最近几年出现的其他三个大满贯都没有的“非主办国的民族主义”(经常有些什么塞尔维亚、塞浦路斯球迷抄板凳 拿棍子打架斗殴之类的。。。),也很有趣。

标榜自己为“亚太大满贯 (the Grand Slam of Asia Pacifics)”的澳洲公开赛,对于中国网球有特殊的意义。2000年易景茜在彼时新更名的Rod Laver Arena第三轮挑战卡普里亚蒂,成为第一个登上大满贯中央场地的中国人。那场比赛我没看。2005年李娜在澳网追平了易景茜的记录,夜场比赛在Rod Laver局促不安地输给了莎拉波娃0-6,2-6。当时我们感觉还很正常:这就是差距,输几局不是输啊,本来就没希望她赢。来年2006,在墨尔本传来特大惊喜,郑洁、晏紫石破天惊的胜利开创中国网球的新纪元。我在电脑前见证了面对彼时世界第一的Raymond/Stosur,挽救赛点,不可思议的胜利。那是我看的最激动人心的女双比赛,整场比赛心潮澎湃,胜利之后激动万分。我个人认为,她们的胜利比2004年李婷、孙甜甜在雅典无聊丑陋的胜利有强得多的说服力。但是,我也是很敬仰孙甜甜的。她2008年在澳洲公开赛与塞尔维亚双打专家Zimonjić合作,赢下混双冠军,完成了自己职业生涯的功德圆满(拿到过WTA巡回赛单打(这点比全运会n冠王彭帅强哦!)、双打冠军,大满贯冠军,奥运会金牌、全运会冠军(ironically, that what counts in CHN))。

2010 年的墨尔本挺风和日丽的,我看网球以来最凉爽的一届澳网。这届澳网上,李娜、郑洁双双打进了四强,创造了中国、乃至亚洲网球前所未有的记录。我并不知道在 国内此事如何报道——本来网球也不是一个能激起民族主义狂热(patriotic fervor)的运动,单打独斗的个人主义是我喜欢它的一大原因——但是,作为一个中国的网球球迷,我是充满了喜悦与自豪。因为我全心希望这项我挚爱的运 动能够从将军的运动、带着“贵族”标签的运动,西方人才打得了的运动,变成家喻户晓,很多人参与的运动。

她们的晋级历程我不过多评论。因为 没有看比赛的人没有发言权。郑洁头三轮都是逆转胜,第三轮是Bartoli。李娜的对手就更是强手、美女大荟萃:扎维、汉图科娃、世界第 四Wozniacki,7届大满贯得主Venus Williams。一句话,不是蒙的!

我们要探讨的是:她们为什么能成功?

(to be continued)

========================================

孙晋芳主任,这位优雅的女士,现在可是欣慰、如释重负加春风得意。去年美网后的全运会上,这位老女排的巾帼英豪 备受 代表毛泽东时代人事体制和生产关系,主张封闭集训,强调绝对服从,禁绝自由恋爱的乒乓沙皇蔡振华的指责和压力。在前天的全国体育局长会议上,她表示

http://sports.sohu.com/20100127/n269865512.shtml

她说的“单飞也能腾飞”,无疑是对中国众多体制改革中严重落后的体育事业的改革,指出了明路。她的“职业化是必然,是衡量是否是体育强国的标准”的观点,我想,值得很多领导同志深思。她的讲话中,表达的“人性化管理”、“根据队员需要合理安排赛程”、“利用激励机制,平衡为国增光和个人职业追求”等方针,就是李娜、郑洁成为闪耀墨尔本的原因。这就是我对于“她们为什么成功”的回答。我们这里先暂时不把讨论扩展到对于“举国体制”的讨论中。我们先就中国网球本身进行探讨。

中国原来有网球么?

很多人大概不了解新中国网球的历史,我也不甚了解。下面这篇2006年《体育画报》上文章,是不错的追述。

http://www.sichina.com/magazine/detail/675.html

整 个国家都是封闭的,中国网球曾经和其他运动项目一样,封闭训练,全运争光,完全不参加国际比赛——不是陈云的“鸟笼”,而根本就是鲁迅的“铁房子”。所以 这才出现文中李芳的第一次踏足温布顿时的种种感慨。其实,1980年代的中国网球根本不是什么李芳,那篇文章有意忽略了一个人——胡娜。她曾经和Zhao Ziyang一样,是中国媒体的一个禁忌。以至于我在STAR SPORTS听许乃仁一口一个“胡娜姐” “讲讲你当时和塞莱斯练球的经历”还以为她是个“台湾之光”。一个出身于网球世家的女孩,打遍全国无敌手,可是绝无机会出国参赛,在1983年利用在美国 比赛联合会杯的机会叛逃美国,几经周折,终于做成了职业球员,踏上温布顿的草地,打入第三轮。

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hu_Na

http://sports.sohu.com/20090810/n265842568.shtml

孙主任所说的“生产关系”,对人的压制到了这种地步。

此后,1990年代的中国网球,一方面还是处于封闭训练为主,出国比赛很少模式,一方面也是再也没有出现胡娜那种有身高、有力量的优秀选手,处于停滞。这段历史我不太了解。

除 却历史的回溯与考据,以个人记忆来说,我已经记不清楚,李婷孙甜甜之前,易景茜之外,中国网球还是有什么。中国网球的大发展,是以孙晋芳2004年春夏之 交的到来为标志的。她并非没有威风,我在CHINA OPEN接近过她,感觉得到她的气场,但更多的是优雅。这些年来“狠批彭帅”、“炮轰李娜”这些标题也不是没有。但是,回过头来想一想,李娜炮轰“无出赛自由”的运动员管理体制的言论,彭帅对于奖金七三分成的不满“要求单飞”的观点(对 不起我记不清楚哪年,所以一时找不到报道佐证),孙虽然媒体上做出了强硬表态,但还是明智接受了的。虽然也有全运上彭帅对郑洁时的让球风波(彭气不过,决 胜盘公然防水,让大家看明白,赛后痛哭),但那个不知道是否孙有介入。与任人唯亲、嫉贤妒能的周继红不同,与只在乎自己的顶戴花铃,“一将功成万骨枯”的 蔡振华不同,孙是一个有雅量,不偏心的领导者。更重要的是,她是一个大胆的改革者。

2005年,还出现过为了中国金花们备战全运退出温网的 事情,但是,2008年,她已经思想开通让到让郑洁放手去打温布顿,而不在去纠结保金牌,让运动员关门苦练双打。(固然,这里有排名系统的问题:运动员多 参赛,积分多,种子牌位高,抽签有利。但是,我的理论是,双打要配对默契,苦练还是有效。而且,单打金牌毕竟需要很多运气,与双打夺金难度不同。)期间, 允许球员丈夫当教练,继而允许陪同外出旅行参赛(此前是主管教练和领导陪同,丈夫是体制外的,没有“名额”的);并且不因为担心她们“分心单打”(啊!我 写出来的时候都会觉得,这在网球界是多么可笑的,但是以唯金牌论的思想下就会这么想啊。)而限制球员向单打发展,后来专攻单打;允许金花“拆对”:郑洁、 晏紫可以拆对,与外国人自由结合,彭帅更是早就和谢淑薇海峡组合了——这更是离经叛道,让蔡振华们不可理解了。最终,2009年,她公布了“单飞”计划。也就是,让郑洁、晏紫、彭帅、李娜等,像国外运动员一样自负盈亏(利益共享机制是网协抽8-12%奖金,这与之前的70-80%上交对于人的激励已经大不同),自己组建团队,自主选择赛程,自己去参赛。你可以讲,中国网球没有这么多人才,孙主任没有搞专制的资本。但是她完全可以不惜一切代价保个奥运金牌(当然,保不保成不是她可掌握)然后谋升官,或者就是指着李娜、郑洁,忽视青少年培养。一个“弱势项目”的管理者,是短视、专制,还是科学、民主她对“说什么”,她不计较李娜为了美网放水全运会(去年的事,最后在美网进入八强,创造亚洲女球员在纽约的最佳纪录)和这两年来中国小花们的绽放(谁谁谁击败萨芬娜什么的,今年澳网韩馨蕴进入澳网正赛)已经是最好的答案。

孙晋芳“领导”下的中国网球,成绩如何?是不是如蔡振华所说,意志品质差了?成绩不稳定了?倒退了?

上文提到已经提到,郑洁、晏紫在2006年澳大利亚公开赛夺冠,之后,她们俩同年在温布顿又夺冠,晋级年终总决赛。

但是,双打毕竟是网球中的鸡肋。郑洁更多侧重单打,2008年在温布顿单打打进四强。长期稳定在前40,2008年时曾排进前20。

李娜在澳网、美网、和好几个WTA一级赛(就是女子大师赛)刷新中国人的记录。去年年终排名15。

彭帅是稳定性和心理比较差的。不过,还是有对阵小克、莎娃、伊万诺维奇、扬科维奇、萨芬娜、德娃等一系列值得称道的胜利,年终排名始终前50。

晏紫与郑洁在05、06年是最风靡的双打组合,晏紫因为打法的限制转单打困难,但她在07年后与彭帅、孙甜甜、庄佳容(台湾)都配对夺冠过。07年还在WTA一级赛加拿大公开赛打进四强。

........

粗 粗写下中国网球的故事,我当然不是只是为孙主任歌功颂德——尽管个人上我是她的fans,在CHINA OPEN上去包厢对她表达过支持和敬意,要过她的签名——我一方面是想让大家知道,中国网球的历史,也是中国改革开放历程的一部分。另外一方面,是让大家 看看孙所说的“人性化管理”、“根据队员需要合理安排赛程”、“利用激励机制,平衡为国增光和个人职业追求”是不是有效果。

单飞对于她俩在澳网的成功有什么作用?

参见http://blog.sina.com.cn/zhangbendou 的诸多报道。尤其是这一篇

http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_483009d10100g713.html

她们不受制约地进行了系统的休赛期体能训练和热身赛事。对于体能和技术上都进行了专门的演练。同样重要的是,看台上有自己的团队,特别是丈夫的支持。

人总是看重成果的,在体育界尤其是这样。这样的成绩有运气成分,难道可以因为这几场比赛就无限拔高么?下节回来,来说明我对单飞长期的乐观预测。以及讨论它对于中国体育体制和其他国家主导的体制的意义。

(to be continued)

施公七十

This article was written on Jan. 16th, for the birthday of Shih Ming-Teh.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shih_Ming-teh

施明德,他是我最二十岁以来最着迷,最敬仰,最推崇的人之一。

昨天,他七十岁。

他十六岁报考军校时即抱着推翻蒋家专制政权的“反心”,二十二岁的金门军官因创立军中的“台独联盟”被捕入狱,遭刑讯逼供,二十二岁开始满口假牙。

1962 起坐监到1977年,其中第一次婚变,那个在他入狱之初为其奔走、扬言自焚至感动狱卒狱官的女人嫁给了先于他出狱的他的“革命同志”,还限制他出狱后探视女儿。而在近几年还不断因为要钱未果,出书大爆其隐私——“原子弹”也就是一些施性欲强,在坐监还乱搞,写信中建议她学习口交之类的事情。(女人啊……:( )

1978年出狱后罔顾“五年内不得犯两月以上徒刑,否则恢复终身监禁”,继续投身组建“没有党名的党”.1979年创立《美丽岛》杂志。年末12-10美丽岛事件爆发。易容潜逃28天后再被逮捕,之后就是那个流芳千古的“景美军法大审”。(见下图。可以辨认出陈菊、吕秀莲、黄信介、张俊雄这些人么?)施公笑对检查官,发表了「
台灣應該獨立,而且事實上已經獨立三十多年了,現在的名字叫做中華民國。」「黨禁、報禁、戒嚴令、萬年國會是台灣民主化的四大害」的政治宣言书。被判处死刑,后因美国压力,改为无期徒刑。

1984年末或者1985年起,因为江南案开始无限期绝食,历时4年7个月余。先后被送到台北三軍總醫院強迫鼻胃管插管灌食共達3040次,创下世界纪录。

1987年7月15日,台灣正式解除自實施38年多的戒嚴令,蔣經國總統原擬對施採取減刑、假釋,但
施明德宣稱自己無罪,不接受當局特赦與假釋,一再堅持「寧要尊嚴,不要赦免」。李登辉就职后對美麗島事件政治犯頒佈特赦令;他再次撕毀特赦令,堅持无条件釋放。李登輝宣布美麗島事件判決無效,施才終於結束絕食,同意被释放。施離開監禁場所對媒體所說的第一句話是;「忍耐是不夠的,還必須寬恕」。施一生堅持包容、寬恕、和解的特質,在此充分顯露。1989年在美国国会就台湾政局作证,讲出“我只带来信心”

我來這裡,不是來請求美國拯救我們台灣人民,或保護我們的基本人權。
我來這裡,不是要抨擊我們的台灣政府。
我來這裡,更不是想要哀求中華人民共和國尊重我們台灣人的自決權利。
我來這裡,我的行李只帶來一項訊息—
我們這一代台灣子女擁有絕對的信心。我們不會向任何強者叩頭。我們不會向任何壓迫者屈服。
我們深信一定能依靠台灣人民自己的力量、智慧和能力,解決我們所面對的種種難題和挑戰。
并以“今天我雖然出席了這項聽證會,但是,
身為一個台灣人,我認為自己不適合也不應該在另一個國家的國會裡,接受另一個國家國會議員的詢問或質問。我只願在其他私人的場合,答覆任何疑問。這是一項原則或立場的問題,希望能予體諒。”作结。

1993年发动游行,促总统直选,并顺利实现1996年总统直选。

1995年任民进党主席期间,发表“大和解”政纲,继续倡导族群宽恕与和谐社会。竞选“立法院长”,因为陈水扁系立委跑票,以一票之差败选,后被广泛认为这是陈为了遏阻施明德如日中天的威望以实权方式得以巩固的授意。

1996年民进党总统大选败选,辞去党主席,推动美丽岛口述历史研究,最终出版60多万字的《珍藏美麗島》,当时被认为是“迄今研究1970年代至1990年代,最完整的台灣民主發展史”。

阿扁执政后,参选立法委员和高雄市长未果。2006年8月,发动“百万人民倒扁运动”,自“美丽岛运动”后,再当总指挥。期间申明民主政体的程序正义,顶住可能演变成民众暴政的压力,坚持和平原则,不流血,不冲击总统府。“倒扁”后,施明德俨然成为CCTV4报道的重点对象和中共的统战重点,但是,他表示,只要飞弹一天不撤出,他不到、也不飞机过境中国大陆。

虽然我对他的印象只是断片——这也是我不在这里长篇大论的原因,但是我认为,

他是浪漫的革命者,忠诚的自由民主战士。

风流,高贵,坚韧不拔。

他所信仰的,除了台湾独立之外,都是我所认同(也许还不能说是信仰)的。

这是我推崇他的原因。


他真的配得上那《海阔天空》和《光辉岁月》。