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Monday, March 9, 2009

Sex in recessions

On today's Michigan Daily there is an article about drinking in recession times. They didn't elaborate the"reason" but pointed out the correlation that alcoholic consumption would increase in recession times. The straight-forward story behind it was "life is tough, people use alcohol as a remedy to evade the reality or fight off the depression/boredom". Then how about sex?

Two contrasting hypotheses come to my mind.
1- Depressive mood makes men less enthusiastic about sex or more ED. ---> decreased sex acts'

2- Sex functions similarly as alcohol: people feel bad, bored and under pressure, they make love. A way of "venting".

Thinking this issue further, I guess the sex acts are more likely to show increase in recession times because:
1- More unemployment --> more crimes ---> more rapes (rapes are marginal in sizes though);
2-For sure masturbation will increase in recession times, reason? see No 2 above;
3- Women want to be pregnant so that they have a lower chance to be laid off (verify this in statute!), they have to have sex to be pregnant;

How to verify all these?

1- Proxy variables such as condom sales, lubricant sales? Maybe those are not closely related to what we want to measure.
2- Survey data may be the best and tere must be many on this topic. But to find a time series or comparable cross-sectional survey data might not be easy.
3- Also the birth rates? Nowadays more intercourse don't lead to more births necessarily, can we still judge a "horny period" from a baby boom? At least abortion cases should go hand in hand with sexual conducts....

I will come back to this days later.

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